Remember Today.
Jun. 21st, 2004 11:29 amI don't know if a lot of people will realize it, but 6/21/2004 is going to be as important as a flight by two brothers on a North Carolina beach.
For we have slipped these bonds, and touched the face of God.
Yes, it took a lot to do it, but it's now been done. And they're going to do it again, and again, and again. The engine design will probably get duplicated, improved, refined, and expanded, and it would not surprise me if suborbital travel starts getting commercially availible in the next five to ten years.
From there, especially once orbiters are ready, it's going to just be a matter of steps...
For we have slipped these bonds, and touched the face of God.
Yes, it took a lot to do it, but it's now been done. And they're going to do it again, and again, and again. The engine design will probably get duplicated, improved, refined, and expanded, and it would not surprise me if suborbital travel starts getting commercially availible in the next five to ten years.
From there, especially once orbiters are ready, it's going to just be a matter of steps...
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Date: 2004-06-21 08:37 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-06-21 09:04 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-06-21 08:54 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-06-21 09:04 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-06-21 10:38 am (UTC)What I do feel it signals is the beginning of proliferation. No longer is space travel privilged and regulated, it will soon go the way of the vaunted 'horseless carriage' or 'computational adding machine'.
We must preserve this as a humanist pursuit, and under national guidance that was assured. I am concerned this will become a commodity that will be driven by greed - afterall, the immediate big push is to win a cash prize. I can see the problems already.
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Date: 2004-06-21 10:50 am (UTC)It is certainly the proliferation, and I hope it will be a wide one, because I think that is actually the only way to keep it as a humanist pursuit. Giving more and more people the ability to go out there and try to make their way is exactly how terrestrial colonization and expansion was made viable, and I can only hope the same will occur here.
Will there be people driven by greed? Probably. But there will be altruists, too. And the X-prize itself doesn't concern me that much, because in most cases, it's not going to cover that much of the development costs. It's a reward, but it's not the type that'll be pushing people to do stupid things.
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Date: 2004-06-21 09:26 am (UTC)Then again, that could just be a side effect of having read "Fallen Angels" for my recent dose of Niven-fiction.
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Date: 2004-06-21 09:28 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-06-21 09:52 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-06-21 04:33 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-06-21 03:27 pm (UTC)Funny, last time I checked, the whole 'first powered flight' thing was designed in Dayton, and executed in NORTH Carolina.
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Date: 2004-06-21 08:39 pm (UTC)Okay, I'm allowed to make 2 mistakes after working on completely emptying 2 houses into one.